How we choose our highest-confidence picks
Five picks, ranked: number 1 is the one our model rates most likely, number 5 the least of the five.
| Rank | What it means |
|---|---|
| 1 | Highest model chance of the day |
| 2–3 | Very close behind |
| 4–5 | Still high, slightly more risk |
Every pick needs a model chance of at least 70% and odds of about 1.20 to 1.55, in one of three markets: a home win for a clear favourite, double chance, or over 1.5 goals. The chances come from both teams' season goals with a home edge.
Why even a strong favourite can lose
Rank 1 isn't a certainty, only the likeliest of today's options. Across five picks rated around 75%, one losing on a given day is normal.
Our recent record
These are the results of the picks chosen for this page on each of the last three days, won or lost.
Wins only: recent winnings.
Singles or a small 2–3 leg slip: how to use these picks
- Take rank 1 alone as your day's single.
- Or ranks 1 and 2 as a double, about 1.6 to 2.2 odds.
- Avoid a five-leg slip: it loses whenever any one pick does.
More: banker of the day, free 2 odds, double chance, over 1.5 goals.
Frequently asked questions
What are the most sure bets today?
Our five highest-rated picks, ranked. None is certain.
Is rank 1 always the best bet?
It has the highest chance, but often the shortest odds.
Why five?
Enough to choose from while keeping the bar high.
Do ranks change during the day?
No. They're set when the list is posted.
Is it free?
Yes.
18+ only. Betting carries risk, so only stake what you can afford to lose. Read our responsible gambling guide.