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Match prediction

Gabon vs Lesotho Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

WORLD · AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS - QUALIFICATION
Gabon logo Gabon 2nd in table · Home WLDLL
Lesotho logo Lesotho 4th in table · Away LL
5:00 PM Fri, 13 Nov 2026
Our prediction Gabon to win
Odds 1.22
75% Confidence High
Home75.1%
Draw16.6%
Away8.3%

Form guide

Results from each team's last 10 matches

Gabon10 played
4Wins
5Losses
1Draws
WDWWLLLLLW
Lesotho10 played
2Wins
5Losses
3Draws
LWDLDWDLLL

Betting markets & predictions

Model probabilities across popular markets

Expected goals (xG) 2.3
LineOverUnder
1.567.4%32.6%
2.540.9%59.1%
3.520.5%79.5%

Last matches

Most recent results, all competitions

Gabon
29/09/2026
W Gabon 2 – 0 Niger
25/09/2026
L Morocco 2 – 0 Gabon
27/03/2026
L Uzbekistan 3 – 1 Gabon
31/12/2025
L Gabon 2 – 3 Ivory Coast
28/12/2025
L Gabon 2 – 3 Mozambique
24/12/2025
L Cameroon 1 – 0 Gabon
14/10/2025
W Gabon 2 – 0 Burundi
10/10/2025
W Gambia 3 – 4 Gabon
09/09/2025
D Gabon 0 – 0 Ivory Coast
03/09/2025
W Seychelles 0 – 4 Gabon
Lesotho
29/09/2026
L Lesotho 0 – 2 Morocco
25/09/2026
L Niger 2 – 1 Lesotho
07/06/2026
L Kenya 4 – 0 Lesotho
04/06/2026
D Lesotho 1 – 1 Kenya
29/03/2026
W Lesotho 2 – 1 Seychelles
26/03/2026
D Seychelles 0 – 0 Lesotho
18/11/2025
L Lesotho 0 – 1 Malawi
15/11/2025
D Lesotho 0 – 0 Malawi
13/10/2025
W Lesotho 1 – 0 Zimbabwe
10/10/2025
L Lesotho 1 – 2 Nigeria

League table

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

See full table
#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Morocco22004:0+46WW
2Gabon21012:203LW
3Niger21012:3-13WL
4Lesotho20021:4-30LL

Ranked on each side's last 5 league games (3 points a win, 1 a draw).

#TeamWDLPLast 5
1Morocco2006WW
2Gabon1013LW
3Niger1013WL
4Lesotho0020LL

2 recent meetings between Gabon and Lesotho

15/10/2024
WLesotho0 : 2Gabon
11/10/2024
DGabon0 : 0Lesotho

Dots show the result for Gabon.

Goals by time period

When each side scores, minute by minute

Gabon
2
1
1
1
0
2
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+
Lesotho
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average event minute

Gabon
29'First goal scored
39'First card
Lesotho
68'First goal scored
35'First card

Season statistics

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification season to date · 2 played · better value highlighted

Gabon · form
WDWWLLLLLW
Lesotho · form
LWDLDWDLLL
GabonLesotho
Points30
Wins10
Draws00
Losses12
Goals for21
Goals against24

Upcoming fixtures difficulty

Easy (1–2)Medium (3)Hard (4–5)
Gabon
H 13 Nov Lesotho
A 17 Nov Lesotho
H 24 Mar Morocco
A 28 Mar Niger
Lesotho
A 13 Nov Gabon
H 17 Nov Gabon
H 24 Mar Niger
A 28 Mar Morocco

Gabon vs Lesotho prediction & tips

Gabon meet Lesotho in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification at Stade de Franceville on November 13, 2026.

The home side have shown strong Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification form, winning 50 percent of their last 2 Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification matches this season.

Lesotho enter this contest after losing 3 of their last 6 matches, and have also been held to 1 draws in their last 3 away games across all leagues.

This will be the first meeting between Gabon and Lesotho in recent competitive history.

Prediction: Gabon and Lesotho to draw with probability 33%.

Gabon vs Lesotho FAQs

What is the prediction for Gabon vs Lesotho?

Our tip is Gabon to win, with a 75.1% model probability at odds of 1.22. It is a statistical estimate, not a guarantee.

When does Gabon vs Lesotho kick off?

Friday, 13 November 2026 at 17:00 WAT (Nigeria time), in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.

Who is more likely to win?

Our model gives Gabon 75.1%, the draw 16.6% and Lesotho 8.3%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score is rated at 42.8% for this match.

How many goals are expected?

Expected goals for the match come out at about 2.3, with over 2.5 goals at 40.9%.

What happened when they last met?

Their latest meeting ended Lesotho 0 : 2 Gabon (15/10/2024).

Match preview

Gabon vs Lesotho prediction & match preview

League
World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Date
Fri, 13 Nov 2026 · 5:00 PM
Venue
Stade de Franceville, Franceville