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Match prediction

Norway vs Wales Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

WORLD · UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
Norway logo Norway Home LW
Wales logo Wales Away LL
6:00 PM Sat, 14 Nov 2026
Our prediction Norway to win
Odds 1.22
77% Confidence High
Home77.2%
Draw13.4%
Away9.4%

Form guide

Results from each team's last 10 matches

Norway10 played
5Wins
4Losses
1Draws
DWWLWWWLLL
Wales10 played
3Wins
5Losses
2Draws
LWWDDLLLWL

Betting markets & predictions

Model probabilities across popular markets

Expected goals (xG) 3.4
LineOverUnder
1.585.6%14.4%
2.566.5%33.5%
3.544.7%55.3%

Last matches

Most recent results, all competitions

Norway
04/10/2026
L Portugal 2 – 1 Norway
01/10/2026
L Wales 2 – 1 Norway
27/09/2026
L Norway 1 – 2 Portugal
24/09/2026
W Norway 3 – 2 Denmark
05/07/2026
W Brazil 1 – 2 Norway
30/06/2026
W Ivory Coast 1 – 2 Norway
26/06/2026
L Norway 1 – 4 France
23/06/2026
W Norway 3 – 2 Senegal
16/06/2026
W Iraq 1 – 4 Norway
07/06/2026
D Morocco 1 – 1 Norway
Wales
04/10/2026
L Wales 0 – 1 Denmark
01/10/2026
W Wales 2 – 1 Norway
27/09/2026
L Denmark 2 – 0 Wales
24/09/2026
L Portugal 1 – 0 Wales
06/06/2026
L Romania 2 – 1 Wales
02/06/2026
D Wales 1 – 1 Ghana
31/03/2026
D Wales 1 – 1 Northern Ireland
18/11/2025
W Wales 7 – 1 FYR Macedonia
15/11/2025
W Liechtenstein 0 – 1 Wales
13/10/2025
L Wales 2 – 4 Belgium

League table

UEFA Nations League

See full table
#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Italy531111:6+510LWDWW
2France53118:5+310WWDWL
3Belgium53028:6+29WLWLW
4Türkiye50053:13-100LLLLL

Ranked on each side's last 5 league games (3 points a win, 1 a draw).

#TeamWDLPLast 5
1Italy31110LWDWW
2France31110WWDWL
3Belgium3029WLWLW
4Türkiye0050LLLLL

1 recent meeting between Norway and Wales

01/10/2026
LWales2 : 1Norway

Dots show the result for Norway.

Goals by time period

When each side scores, minute by minute

Norway
2
1
2
1
1
3
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+
Wales
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average event minute

Norway
38'First goal scored
44'First card
Wales
64'First goal scored
53'First card

Upcoming fixtures difficulty

Easy (1–2)Medium (3)Hard (4–5)
Norway
H 14 Nov Wales
A 17 Nov Denmark
Wales
A 14 Nov Norway
H 17 Nov Portugal

Norway vs Wales prediction & tips

Norway meet Wales in the UEFA Nations League at Ullevaal Stadion on November 14, 2026.

Norway head into this fixture having won 3 of their last 6 matches and won 2 of their previous 4 home matches across all competitions.

Wales enter this contest after losing 4 of their last 6 matches, and have also been held to 0 draws in their last 4 away games across all leagues.

Looking at the head to head record, Wales won the only previous meeting between these teams.

Prediction: Norway to win with probability 77%.

Norway vs Wales FAQs

What is the prediction for Norway vs Wales?

Our tip is Norway to win, with a 77.2% model probability at odds of 1.22. It is a statistical estimate, not a guarantee.

When does Norway vs Wales kick off?

Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 18:00 WAT (Nigeria time), in the UEFA Nations League.

Who is more likely to win?

Our model gives Norway 77.2%, the draw 13.4% and Wales 9.4%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score is rated at 66.6% for this match.

How many goals are expected?

Expected goals for the match come out at about 3.4, with over 2.5 goals at 66.5%.

What happened when they last met?

Their latest meeting ended Wales 2 : 1 Norway (01/10/2026).

Match preview

Norway vs Wales prediction & match preview

League
World · UEFA Nations League
Date
Sat, 14 Nov 2026 · 6:00 PM
Venue
Ullevaal Stadion, Oslo