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Mali vs Rwanda Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

WORLD · AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS - QUALIFICATION
Mali logo Mali Home WW
Rwanda logo Rwanda Away WW
8:00 PM Fri, 13 Nov 2026
Our prediction Mali win or draw
Odds 1.06
69% Confidence Medium
Home70.9%
Draw17.1%
Away12%

Form guide

Results from each team's last 10 matches

Mali10 played
2Wins
2Losses
6Draws
DDDDLDLWWD
Rwanda10 played
5Wins
4Losses
1Draws
LLWLLWWWWD

Betting markets & predictions

Model probabilities across popular markets

Expected goals (xG) 1.6
LineOverUnder
1.546.2%53.8%
2.520.6%79.4%
3.57.3%92.7%

Last matches

Most recent results, all competitions

Mali
04/10/2026
D Morocco 1 – 1 Mali
29/09/2026
W Liberia 0 – 1 Mali
25/09/2026
W Mali 3 – 1 Cape Verde Islands
04/06/2026
L Iran 2 – 0 Mali
31/03/2026
D Russia 0 – 0 Mali
09/01/2026
L Mali 0 – 1 Senegal
29/12/2025
D Comoros 0 – 0 Mali
26/12/2025
D Morocco 1 – 1 Mali
22/12/2025
D Mali 1 – 1 Zambia
18/11/2025
D Jordan 0 – 0 Mali
Rwanda
05/10/2026
D Rwanda 0 – 0 Kenya
29/09/2026
W Cape Verde Islands 1 – 2 Rwanda
25/09/2026
W Rwanda 3 – 1 Liberia
30/03/2026
W Rwanda 2 – 0 Estonia
27/03/2026
W Rwanda 4 – 0 Grenada
14/10/2025
L South Africa 3 – 0 Rwanda
10/10/2025
L Rwanda 0 – 1 Benin
09/09/2025
W Zimbabwe 0 – 1 Rwanda
06/09/2025
L Nigeria 1 – 0 Rwanda
05/06/2025
L Algeria 2 – 0 Rwanda

League table

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

See full table
#TeamGPWDLGGDPForm
1Morocco22004:0+46WW
2Gabon21012:203LW
3Niger21012:3-13WL
4Lesotho20021:4-30LL

Ranked on each side's last 5 league games (3 points a win, 1 a draw).

#TeamWDLPLast 5
1Morocco2006WW
2Gabon1013LW
3Niger1013WL
4Lesotho0020LL

2 recent meetings between Mali and Rwanda

11/11/2021
WRwanda0 : 3Mali
01/09/2021
WMali1 : 0Rwanda

Dots show the result for Mali.

Goals by time period

When each side scores, minute by minute

Mali
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+
Rwanda
1
1
5
2
1
1
0-1516-3031-4546-6061-7576+

Average event minute

Mali
54'First goal scored
46'First card
Rwanda
31'First goal scored
48'First card

Upcoming fixtures difficulty

Easy (1–2)Medium (3)Hard (4–5)
Mali
H 13 Nov Rwanda
A 17 Nov Rwanda
A 24 Mar Cape Verde Islands
H 28 Mar Liberia
Rwanda
A 13 Nov Mali
H 17 Nov Mali
A 24 Mar Liberia
H 28 Mar Cape Verde Islands

Mali vs Rwanda prediction & tips

Mali meet Rwanda in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification at Stade du 26 Mars on November 13, 2026.

The home side have shown strong Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification form, winning 100 percent of their last 2 Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification matches this season.

Rwanda arrive in stronger recent form, with 2 wins from 2 Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and one victory in their previous 5 away games.

Of their last 2 meetings, Mali have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 against Rwanda.

Prediction: Mali to win with probability 71%.

Published by Football Analyst & Predictor · TodaysPredict

Mali vs Rwanda FAQs

What is the prediction for Mali vs Rwanda?

Our tip is Mali win or draw, with a 68.5% model probability at odds of 1.06. It is a statistical estimate, not a guarantee.

When does Mali vs Rwanda kick off?

Friday, 13 November 2026 at 20:00 WAT (Nigeria time), in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.

Who is more likely to win?

Our model gives Mali 70.9%, the draw 17.1% and Rwanda 12%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams to score is rated at 29.3% for this match.

How many goals are expected?

Expected goals for the match come out at about 1.6, with over 2.5 goals at 20.6%.

What happened when they last met?

Their latest meeting ended Rwanda 0 : 3 Mali (11/11/2021).

Match preview

Mali vs Rwanda prediction & match preview

League
World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Date
Fri, 13 Nov 2026 · 8:00 PM
Venue
Stade du 26 Mars, Bamako