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UEFA Nations League Thu, 12 Nov 2026 · 20:45
Not started
Italy logo
Italy
Home · 2nd
WDWLW
20:45Kick-off
Our tip · Away Win or Draw(X2)
France logo
France
Away · 1st
WDWWL

Win probability

21.2% Home 4.50 23.8% Draw 4.00 55% Away 1.73

Italy vs France Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

63.8%probability
Our prediction

France win or draw

Away Win or Draw(X2) Odds 1.18

Betting Markets & Predictions

Chances worked out from both teams' records.
Goals
Over 1.5
73.8%
Under 1.5
26.2%
Over 2.5
48.9%
Under 2.5
51.1%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
Both teams to score
Yes
53.5%
No
46.5%
Double chance
Home or draw (1X)
62.4%
Away or draw (X2)
63.8%
Home or away (12)
73.8%
Draw no bet
Italy
49.1%
France
50.9%
Half-time / Full-time
Away / Away
22%
Home / Home
21.1%
Draw / Draw
15.9%
Correct score
1-1
12.5%
0-1
9.6%
1-0
9.4%
HandicapImplied from Bet365 odds.
Home -16.80
13.9%
Away -11.10
86.1%
CornersImplied from Bet365 odds.
Over 9.51.91
48.5%
Under 9.51.80
51.5%
CardsImplied from Bet365 odds.
Over 3.51.80
51.5%
Under 3.51.91
48.5%
Anytime scorerImplied from Bet365 odds.
Kylian Mbappe2.00
50%
Eli Junior Kroupi2.60
38.5%
Marcus Thuram2.75
36.4%
Bradley Barcola3.20
31.3%
Desire Doue3.20
31.3%

Recent Goal Lines

Share of each team's last 6 matches
ItalyFrance
67% · 4 of 6
Over 1.5
67% · 4 of 6
33% · 2 of 6
Over 2.5
33% · 2 of 6
33% · 2 of 6
Over 3.5
33% · 2 of 6
50% · 3 of 6
BTTS Yes
50% · 3 of 6

Goals By Time Period

1
0
4
0
0
0
2
4
2
1
1
6
0–1515–3030–4545–6060–7575–90
ItalyFrance

Avg. Event Time

ItalyGoal 34' · Card 50'
FranceGoal 64' · Card 56'
01530HT6075FT
First goalFirst card

Previous Matches

Italy
05/10/2026 vs Türkiye 3 - 1 W
02/10/2026 @ France 1 - 1 D
28/09/2026 @ Türkiye 1 - 4 W
25/09/2026 vs Belgium 0 - 2 L
07/06/2026 @ Greece 0 - 1 W
03/06/2026 @ Luxembourg 0 - 1 W
26/03/2026 vs Northern Ireland 2 - 0 W
16/11/2025 vs Norway 1 - 4 L
13/11/2025 @ Moldova 0 - 2 W
14/10/2025 vs Israel 3 - 0 W
France
05/10/2026 vs Belgium 4 - 1 W
02/10/2026 vs Italy 1 - 1 D
28/09/2026 @ Belgium 0 - 1 W
25/09/2026 @ Türkiye 0 - 1 W
18/07/2026 vs England 4 - 6 L
14/07/2026 vs Spain 0 - 2 L
09/07/2026 vs Morocco 2 - 0 W
04/07/2026 @ Paraguay 0 - 1 W
30/06/2026 vs Sweden 3 - 0 W
26/06/2026 @ Norway 1 - 4 W

Italy vs France Prediction & Tips

Italy meet France in the UEFA Nations League at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza on November 12, 2026.

The home side have shown strong UEFA Nations League form, winning 67 percent of their last 3 UEFA Nations League matches this season.

France arrive in stronger recent form, with 2 wins from 3 UEFA Nations League fixtures and one victory in their previous 4 away games.

This will be the first meeting between Italy and France in recent competitive history.

Prediction: France to win with probability 55%.

Prediction: France win or draw with probability 63.8%.
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Published byDavidFootball Analyst & Predictor · Todayspredict