Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Ethiopia vs Senegal

Tue, 29th Sep, 2026

•

14:00 PM

TIP: Over 1.5

Home Match Details

Ethiopia vs Senegal Prediction, H2H, Stats & Betting Tips

L D D W W

Ethiopia

September 29th, 2026

0 - 1

TIP: Over 1.5

D L W L L

Senegal

Home

Draw

Away

12.7

7.00

18.8

4.75

68.5

1.30

Betting Markets & Predictions

Home -0.75

13.6%

odds 7

Away -0.75

86.4%

odds 1.1

Implied from Bet365 odds.

Over 8.5

47.4%

Under 8.5

52.6%

Implied from Bet365 odds.

Over 1.5

55.4%

Under 1.5

44.6%

Implied from 1xBet odds.

Pape Moussa Fall 2.05 48.8%

Nicolas Jackson 2.5 40%

Abdallah Sima 2.62 38.2%

Boulaye Dia 2.62 38.2%

Ismaila Sarr 2.88 34.7%

Implied from Bet365 anytime-scorer odds (independent market, not devigged against other players).

H2H

Previous Matches

No Data yet

last five matches

Ethiopia

Previous Matches

0 - 1

Senegal

29/09/2026

1 - 0

Sudan

25/09/2026

1 - 1

Malawi

09/06/2026

1 - 0

Malawi

06/06/2026

1 - 0

Sao Tome and Principe

31/03/2026

0 - 3

Sao Tome and Principe

27/03/2026

3 - 1

Burkina Faso

12/10/2025

1 - 0

Guinea-Bissau

08/10/2025

2 - 0

Sierra Leone

09/09/2025

2 - 0

Egypt

05/09/2025

Senegal

Previous Matches

0 - 1

Ethiopia

29/09/2026

1 - 1

Mozambique

25/09/2026

5 - 0

Iraq

26/06/2026

3 - 2

Norway

23/06/2026

3 - 1

France

16/06/2026

0 - 0

Saudi Arabia

09/06/2026

3 - 2

USA

31/05/2026

3 - 1

Gambia

31/03/2026

2 - 0

Peru

28/03/2026

1 - 0

Egypt

14/01/2026

league table

Team

Pts

1 Morocco

2 Gabon

3 Niger

-1

4 Lesotho

-3

Match Centre

214 Passes accurate 393

5 Shots insidebox 4

6 Shots outsidebox 3

6 Blocked Shots 1

7 Free Kicks 13

1 Shots on Goal 3

2 Goalkeeper Saves 1

4 Shots off Goal 3

7 Offsides 0

290 Total passes 470

11 Total Shots 7

1 Yellow Cards 4

5 Corner Kicks 2

16 Fouls 7

0 Red Cards 0

39% Ball Possession 61%

11' ⚽ Ibrahim Mbaye (Senegal)

19' 🟨 Pape Gueye (Senegal)

45' 🔄 Abed Yalew (Ethiopia)

48' 🟨 Malang Sarr (Senegal)

55' 🔄 Assane Diao Diaoune (Senegal)

59' 🔄 B. Fikru (Ethiopia)

65' 🔄 Abdallah Sima (Senegal)

65' 🔄 Pape Gueye (Senegal)

70' 🟨 Idrissa Gueye (Senegal)

82' 🔄 Canaan Markneh (Ethiopia)

82' 🔄 Gathouch Panom (Ethiopia)

89' 🔄 Nicolas Jackson (Senegal)

89' 🟨 Lamine Sy (Senegal)

90' 🟨 Yared Bayeh (Ethiopia)

90' 🔄 Ibrahim Mbaye (Senegal)

Under Over

Recent Goal Lines

Ethiopia Senegal

Under 4 Over 2

67%

1.5

Goals

Under 2 Over 4

67%

Under 5 Over 1

83%

2.5

Goals

Under 3 Over 3

50%

Under 6 Over 0

100%

3.5

Goals

Under 3 Over 3

50%

Both Scored (Yes/No)

Yes 1 No 5

83%

Yes 3 No 3

50%

Goals By Time Period

Ethiopia

15'

30'

60'

75'

15'

30'

60'

75'

Senegal

15'

30'

60'

75'

15'

30'

60'

75'

Avg. Event Time

Scored Conceded

Ethiopia

0 15 30 HT 60 75 FT

Senegal

0 15 30 HT 60 75 FT

Shots

Last 4 matches

Ethiopia Avg. per game

Total shots 2.75

Blocked 1.5

64% off target 36% on target

45% inside box 55% outside box

Senegal Avg. per game

Total shots 14.2

Blocked 3.6

51% off target 49% on target

66% inside box 34% outside box

Passes

Ethiopia

Total 72.5

Accurate 53.5 (—%)

Possession 35%

Senegal

Total 512.4

Accurate 445.4 (70%)

Possession 60%

Upcoming Fixtures Difficulty

Ethiopia

A · 11 Nov

Mozambique

Unrated

H · 15 Nov

Mozambique

Unrated

H · 24 Mar

Sudan

Unrated

A · 28 Mar

Senegal

Unrated

Senegal

A · 04 Oct

Comoros

Unrated

H · 11 Nov

Sudan

Unrated

A · 15 Nov

Sudan

Unrated

A · 24 Mar

Mozambique

Unrated

H · 28 Mar

Ethiopia

Unrated

Ethiopia vs Senegal Prediction & Tips

Ethiopia meet Senegal in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on September 29, 2026.

The home side have shown strong Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification form, winning 67 percent of their last 3 Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification matches this season.

Senegal enter this contest after losing 3 of their last 6 matches, and have also been held to 2 draws in their last 6 away games across all leagues.

This will be the first meeting between Ethiopia and Senegal in recent competitive history.

Prediction: Senegal to win with probability 66%.

Published by

David

Football Analyst & Predictor · Todayspredict